Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 8.332933 9.561186 10.927177 12.562345 14.470942 16.633524 19.276967
2025-02-16 6.502482 8.027158 9.864333 12.253029 15.294088 19.059221 24.109351
2025-02-23 5.475083 7.125337 9.233080 12.145620 16.101895 21.340005 28.885654
2025-03-02 4.752355 6.452207 8.727617 12.031689 16.765658 23.393037 33.531450
2025-03-09 4.180782 5.882820 8.253689 11.845611 17.234448 25.154266 37.928317
2025-03-16 3.700082 5.370696 7.779999 11.568831 17.489524 26.576640 41.949272
2025-03-23 3.505179 5.243455 7.836514 12.066152 18.947037 29.973370 49.541022
2025-03-30 3.256952 5.003889 7.689300 12.215146 19.849454 32.570998 56.156997
2025-04-06 2.996603 4.715691 7.430829 12.144514 20.362862 34.558474 61.965724
2025-04-13 2.757610 4.436448 7.155086 12.006484 20.729729 36.313917 67.576773
2025-04-20 2.642100 4.347263 7.179889 12.379496 22.031127 39.887981 77.174161
2025-04-27 2.520576 4.235198 7.152316 12.651088 23.169627 43.288665 86.941357
2025-05-04 2.440073 4.189312 7.239455 13.149386 24.814219 47.917392 100.116736
2025-05-11 2.242543 3.918910 6.901744 12.814187 24.791601 49.214649 106.307778
2025-05-18 2.096421 3.728537 6.691754 12.700423 25.195127 51.432986 114.928221
2025-05-25 1.963859 3.551689 6.490434 12.580666 25.567364 53.624232 123.845655
2025-06-01 1.834501 3.370105 6.263891 12.385221 25.752291 55.421210 132.105896
2025-06-08 1.705956 3.179852 6.004324 12.094546 25.693400 56.653891 139.153385
2025-06-15 1.677782 3.182402 6.124517 12.616856 27.510839 62.487072 159.237288
2025-06-22 1.612508 3.105883 6.078380 12.773357 28.505559 66.486652 175.138898
2025-06-29 1.529394 2.986861 5.934884 12.699165 28.945822 69.174655 187.872200
2025-07-06 1.446081 2.861247 5.767473 12.554184 29.197386 71.416592 199.742293
2025-07-13 1.416267 2.844772 5.830314 12.946000 30.823967 77.476589 224.322509